THE RATIONAL ARGUMENTATOR |
Henry Hazlitt's Time Will Run Back: Unleashing
Business to Improve the Human Condition |
The free-market economist,
journalist, and editor Henry Hazlitt wrote his novel The
Great Idea in 1951; the book was re-released under the
title Time Will Run Back in 1966 in order to
emphasize the rediscovery of the lost ideas of free-market
capitalism by the novel’s protagonists. In addition to being
the most rigorous work of fiction available for the teaching
of economic ideas, Time Will Run Back highlights
the role of business in taking a society from a condition of
destitution, misery, and brutality to one of widespread
prosperity, progress, and personal fulfillment.
The novel’s hero, Peter Uldanov,
is the son of Stalenin, the dictator of Wonworld—a socialist dystopia that, in the year 2100 (282 A.M.– After
Marx) spans the entire globe. Peter, raised away from
politics by his mother, has not been indoctrinated into
Wonworld’s ideology of totalitarian central planning of all
aspects of its citizens’ lives. While completely new to
politics, Peter is highly intelligent and an accomplished
pianist and mathematician. Stalenin is dying and, out of
paternal affection, seeks to engineer Peter’s succession.
Peter is intellectually honest and is perplexed at the
widespread poverty, famines, and shortages of Wonworld, as
well as the constant climate of terror in which its subjects
live—even though the regime claims to have “liberated”
them from oppression by the capitalists of old. Peter
attempts to introduce a series of reforms to allow criticism
of the government and free elections, but his goal of
achieving human liberation fails to take hold so long as the
economy remains completely centrally planned.
Peter’s
nemesis is Stalenin’s second-in-command Bolshekov, who
zealously defends the system of command and control while he
is the main agent of torture, execution, and mismanagement
within it. Peter enlists the assistance of Thomas Jefferson
Adams—the third-highest official in Wonworld. Adams is
disillusioned with the socialist system and gropes for
alternatives but, like Peter, does not have the benefit of
the lessons of history—since any works of literature,
economics, philosophy, and political theory that disagreed
with Marxism-Leninism were purged after Wonworld’s
establishment a century earlier. Adams has become cynical by
observing decades of attempted “reforms” within Wonworld,
which tinkered with specific policies and plans but never
challenged the overarching fact of total central planning.
Peter, as an outsider with a fresh perspective, is more
willing to overhaul the system’s most fundamental features.
In the genuine search for greater prosperity and more humane
treatment for Wonworld’s population, he begins to dismantle
the socialist system piece by piece, at first without even
recognizing that this is the effect of his actions.
Much of the novel depicts Peter
and Adams groping toward a system of incrementally freer
markets and greater individual liberty as they discuss
possible reforms and attempt to understand both their direct
and secondary, unintended consequences. As a result of their
stepwise sequence of liberalizations, Peter and Adams
inadvertently rediscover the old system of capitalism that
Wonworld sought to stamp out. Adams often acts as a foil to
Peter, proposing modified central plans or mixed-economy
systems and attempting to posit the arguments made by
inflationists and protectionists that emerge as milder
obstacles to liberalization once private property, money,
and decentralized economic planning by individuals are
restored. Peter, however, is sufficiently wise to be able to
perceive the secondary consequences of these proposals and
to consistently espouse and act in favor of unhampered
individual economic liberty.
Peter’s first successful reform
is to permit people to exchange ration coupons which they
were allocated for various specific commodities. Previously,
each citizen of Wonworld received ration coupons that were
limited to his personal use, and there was no way to realize
any value from coupons for goods that the individual did not
wish to personally consume. Initially, the citizens of
Wonworld—terrorized for generations—are reluctant to
exchange coupons for fear of being tricked into showing
disloyalty, but after a few months of encouragement by
Peter’s government, exchanges begin to occur:
At first individuals or
families merely exchanged ration tickets with other
persons or families living in the same room with them.
Then in the same house. Then in the same neighborhood or
factory. The rates at which the ration tickets exchanged
was a matter of special bargaining in each case. They at
first revealed no describable pattern whatever. In one
tenement or barracks someone would be exchanging, say,
one shirt coupon for five bread coupons; next door one
shirt coupon might exchange for fifteen bread coupons.
But gradually a distinct
pattern began to take form. The man who had exchanged
his shirt coupon for five bread coupons would learn that
he could have got fifteen bread coupons from someone
else; the man who had given up fifteen bread coupons for
one shirt coupon would learn that he might have got a
shirt coupon for only five bread coupons. So people
began to “shop around,” as they called it, each trying
to get the highest bid for what he had to offer, each
trying to get the greatest number of the coupons he
desired for the coupons with which he was willing to
part. The result, after a surprisingly short time, was
that a uniform rate of exchange prevailed at any given
moment between one type of coupon and another. (Hazlitt
1966, 103)
This reform inaugurates a price
system, which facilitates rational planning by individuals
and the effective allocation of goods to their most highly
valued uses. It also leads to the emergence of markets where
large volumes of exchanges can take place:
Then another striking thing
happened. People had at first shopped around from house
to house and street to street, trying to get the best
rate in the kind of coupons they valued most for the
kind of coupons they valued least. But soon people
anxious to trade their coupons took to meeting regularly
at certain places where they had previously discovered
that they found the most other traders and bidders and
could get the best rates in the quickest time. These
meeting points, which people took to calling coupon
“markets,” tended to become fewer and larger.
Two principal “markets”
gradually established themselves in Moscow, one in
Engels Square and the other at the foot of
Death-to-Trotsky Street. Here large crowds, composed in
turn of smaller groups, gathered on the sidewalk and
spread into the street. They were made up of shouting
and gesticulating persons, each holding up a coupon or
sheet of coupons, each asking how much he was bid, say,
in beer coupons for his shirt coupon, or offering his
shirt coupon for, say, twelve beer coupons, and asking
whether he had any takers. (Hazlitt 1966, 103-104)
As markets take hold,
professional brokers emerge to handle large numbers of
transactions for ordinary people in exchange for a
percentage of ration coupons. The brokers quickly become
adept at spotting and eliminating discrepancies among
exchange rates between any two types of coupons:
Their competitive bids and
offers continued until the relationships were ironed
out, so that no further profit was possible for anybody
as a result of a discrepancy. For the same reason, Peter
found, the ratios of exchange in the market at Engels
Square were never far out of line for more than a very
short period with the ratios of exchange on
Death-to-Trotsky Street; for a set of brokers were
always running back and forth between the two markets,
or sending messengers, and trying to profit from the
least discrepancy that arose between the markets in the
exchanges or quotations.
A special name—”arbitrage
business”—sprang up for this sort of transaction. Its
effect was to unify, or to universalize, price
relationships among markets between which this freedom
of arbitrage existed. (Hazlitt 1966, 105)
By allowing free exchange and
permitting private entrepreneurs to take advantage of
arbitrage opportunities, Peter enables a solution to emerge
for Wonworld’s previously intractable problem of how to make
the best use of scarce resources to fulfill as many human
needs as possible. Peter recognizes that, even though the
adjustments to prices that guide this process of rational
resource allocation may appear automatic, they are in fact
the effect of the actions of businesspeople seeking to earn
a profit:
They took place solely
because there was an alert group of people ready to
seize upon the slightest discrepancy to make a
transaction profitable to themselves. It was precisely
the constant alertness and the constant initiative of
these specialists that prevented any but the most minute
and short-lived discrepancies from occurring. (Hazlitt
1966, 105)
Allowing free exchange of
ration tickets leads to the spontaneous emergence of a
monetary system as exchange rates begin to be quoted in
terms of only a few leading types of coupons and eventually
only in terms of cigarette coupons. These are superseded by
packages of cigarettes themselves, which are in turn
eventually replaced by gold.
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“By allowing free exchange and
permitting private entrepreneurs to take advantage of
arbitrage opportunities, [the novel’s hero, Peter Uldanov] enables a solution to emerge
for Wonworld’s previously intractable problem of how to make
the best use of scarce resources to fulfill as many human
needs as possible.” |
The power struggle between
Peter and Bolshekov escalates until Bolshekov engineers
Stalenin’s assassination and seizes power in Wonworld. Peter
and Adams flee to North America, assisted by their loyal Air
Force, and establish their own country—Freeworld—where
Peter’s economic reforms continue. Private ownership of land
and capital goods is introduced, and large factories are
privatized through the issuance of transferable shares to
their workers, entitling them to receive a percentage of the
profits from the enterprise. This greatly raises the
incentives for production, responsibility, and prudent
management of resources, as the newly empowered citizens
inform Peter:
When he asked one of these
new peasant-proprietors about his changed attitude, his
explanation was simple: “The more work I and my family
put into the farm, the better off we are. Our work is no
longer offset by the laziness and carelessness of
others. On the other hand, we can no longer sit back and
hope that others will make up for what we fail to do.
Everything depends on ourselves.”
Another farmer-owner put it
this way: “The greater the crop we raise this year, the
better off my family will be. But we also have to think
of next year and the year after that, so we can’t take
any risk of exhausting the soil. Every improvement I put
into the farm, whether into the soil or into the
buildings, is mine; I reap the fruits of it. But there
is something that to me is more important still. I am
building this for my family; I am increasing the
security of my family; I will have something fine to
turn over to my children after I am gone. I don’t know
how I can explain it to you, Your Highness, but since my
family has owned this land for itself, and
feels secure in its right and title to stay here undisturbed, we feel not only that the farm belongs
to us but that we belong to the farm. It is a part of
us, and we are a part of it. It works for us, and we
work for it. It produces for us, and we produce for it.
You may think it is just a thing, but it seems as alive
as any of us, and we love it and care for it as if it
were a part of ourselves.” (Hazlitt 1966, 131)
The ability of individuals to
own and run their business and earn a profit turns Freeworld
into an economic powerhouse. Whereas Wonworld had, for a
century, remained at the level of technological advancement
approximately resembling that of 1918-1938, Freeworld
becomes a haven for invention, the benefits of which
disseminate rapidly to the population. Freeworld’s
development appears to rapidly catch up to the condition of
Hazlitt’s 1950s and 1960s America:
Constant and bewildering
improvements were being made in household conveniences,
in fluorescent lighting, in radiant heating, in
air-conditioning, in vacuum cleaners, in clothes-washing
machines, in dishwashing machines, in a thousand new
structural and decorative materials. Great forward leaps
were now taken in radio. There was talk of the
development, in the laboratories, of the wireless
transmission, not merely of music and voices, but of the
living and moving image of objects and people.
Hundreds of new
improvements, individually sometimes slight but
cumulatively enormous, were being made in all sorts of
transportation—in automobiles and railroads, in ships
and airplanes. Inventors even talked of a new device to
be called “jet-propulsion,” which would not only
eliminate propellers but bring speeds rivaling that of
sound itself.
In medicine, marvelous new
anesthetics and new lifesaving drugs were constantly
being discovered …
“In our new economic
system, Adams,” said Peter, “we seem to have developed
hundreds of thousands of individual centers of
initiative which spontaneously co-operate with each
other. We have made more material progress in the last
four years, more industrial and scientific progress,
than Wonworld made in a century.” (Hazlitt 1966, 153)
Instead of dreading work and
needing to be terrorized into toil, the people begin to
welcome and yearn for productive innovation:
Peter was struck by the
startling change that had come over the whole spirit of
the people. They worked with an energy and zeal
infinitely greater than anything they had shown before.
Peter now found people everywhere who regarded their
work as a pleasure, a hobby, an exciting adventure. They
were constantly thinking of improvements, devising new
gadgets, dreaming of new processes that would cut costs
of production, or new inventions and new products that
consumers might want. (Hazlitt 1966, 139)
Peter explains to Adams that
this “is precisely what economic liberty does. It
releases human energy” (Hazlitt 1966, 139). Whereas,
previously, only the Central Planning Board could decide how
to direct resources,
Now everybody can
plan. Now everybody is a center of planning. The worker
can plan to shift to another employer or another line of
production where the rewards are higher. He can plan to
train himself in a new skill that pays better. And
anybody who can save or borrow capital, or who can get
the co-operation of other workers or offer them more
attractive terms of employment than before, can start a
new enterprise, make a new product, fill a new need. And
this puts a quality of adventure and excitement into
most people’s lives that was never there before. In
Wonworld, in effect, only the Dictator himself could
originate or initiate: everybody else simply carried out
his orders. But in Freeworld anybody can
originate or initiate. And because he can, he does.
(Hazlitt 1966, 139)
Hazlitt frequently emphasizes
the connection between the economic empowerment that freedom
in business offers and the resulting surge in the quality of
life and daily experience—a sense of responsibility,
opportunity, self-direction, and the ability to chart one’s
own future that permeates an economy where individuals are
their own economic masters. While under central planning, no
progress occurs unless initiated by the exceptionally rare
enlightened rulers at the top, in a free market every
businessman and worker can be an agent of human progress.
Peter observes that a free-market system is meritocratic and
tends to reward contributions to human well-being: “Everyone
tends to be rewarded by the consumers to the extent that he
has contributed to the needs of the consumers. In other
words, free competition tends to give to labor what labor
creates, to the owners of money and capital goods what their
capital creates, and to enterprisers what their co-ordinating
function creates” (Hazlitt 1966, 139). Adams responds that,
to the extent a free-market system is able to achieve this,
“no group would have the right to complain. You would have
achieved an economic paradise” (Hazlitt 1966, 139). In a
later discussion, Peter notes that the profits realized by
businesspeople in a free-market system cannot be maintained
on the whole except in a growing economy where consumers are
increasingly better off; a free-market system cannot be
called a profit system “in a declining or even in a
stationary economy. It is, of course, a profit-seeking
system” (Hazlitt 1966, 150), but the search for profit
in a free economy will only succeed if human needs are
fulfilled by the entrepreneur in the process.
Cultural and esthetic progress,
too, are facilitated by the actions of Freeworld’s
entrepreneurs. Hazlitt points out that “it was not merely in
material progress that Freeworld achieved such amazing
triumphs. No less striking were the new dignity and breadth
that individual freedom brought about in the whole cultural
and spiritual life of the Western Hemisphere” (Hazlitt 1966,
155). By contrast with Wonworld’s regime-monopolized “art”
designed to praise the ruling ideology, the outpouring of
creativity and variety in Freeworld “showed itself in novels
and plays, in criticism and poetry, in painting, sculpture
and architecture, in political and economic thinking, in
most sciences, in philosophy and religion” (Hazlitt 1966,
155). Even though freedom in artistic production results in
catering “to the presumed tastes of a mass public; and the
bulk of what was produced was vulgar and cheap” (Hazlitt
1966, 155), there also emerges the opportunity for some
artists to pursue lasting greatness:
What counted, as Peter
quickly saw, was that each writer and each artist was
now liberated from abject subservience to the state, to
the political ruling clique. He was now free to select
his own public. He did not need to
cater to a nebulous “mass demand.” He could, if he
wished, write, build, think, compose or paint for a
definite cultivated group, or for his fellow specialists,
or for a few kindred spirits wherever they could be
found. And plays did have a way of finding their own
special audience, and periodicals and books of finding
their own special readers.
In contrast with the
drabness, monotony and dreariness of Wonworld, the
cultural and spiritual life of Freeworld was full of
infinite variety, flavor, and adventure. (Hazlitt 1966,
155)
The intellectual honesty of
Peter Uldanov enables him to transform the role of
inadvertent world dictator to that of guardian of individual
freedom. Freeworld overcomes Bolshekov’s Wonworld in a
largely bloodless military campaign, due to Freeworld’s
overwhelming superiority in production and the eagerness of
Wonworld’s citizens to throw off Bolshekov’s totalitarian
rule. At the novel’s end, Peter decides to hold free
elections and subject his own position to the people’s
approval. Running against the mixed-economy “Third Way”
advocate Wang Ching-li, Peter narrowly wins the election and
becomes the first President of Freeworld, even though his
preference would be to devote his time to playing Mozart.
Peter has the wisdom to unleash the productive forces of
free enterprise and then to step aside, except in
maintaining a system that punishes aggression, protects
private property, and provides a reliable rule of law.
The ending of Time Will Run Back is a happy one, but it
is made possible by one key tremendously fortunate and
unlikely circumstance—the ability of a fundamentally
decent person to find himself in a position of vast
political power, whose use he deliberately restrains and
channels toward liberalization instead of perpetuating the
abuses of the old system. Peter is, in effect, a
“philosopher-king” who reasons his way toward free-market
capitalism, unleashing private business to bring about
massive human progress. Without such an individual, Wonworld
could have lingered in misery, stagnation, and even decline
for centuries. In our world, however, where the vestiges of
free enterprise and the history of economic thought are much
stronger, we do not need to rediscover sound economic
principles from whole cloth, so perhaps existing societies
could eventually muddle through toward freer economies, even
though no philosopher-kings are to be found. Hazlitt gave us
Peter Uldanov’s story to enable us to understand which
reforms and institutions can improve the human condition,
and which can only degrade it.
Reference:
Hazlitt, Henry. [1966.] 2007.
Time Will Run Back. New York: Arlington House.
Ludwig von Mises Institute. Available at
library.freecapitalists.org.
Accessed December 13, 2014. |
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First written appearance of the
word 'liberty,' circa 2300 B.C. |
Le Québécois Libre
Promoting individual liberty, free markets and voluntary
cooperation since 1998.
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