THE RATIONAL ARGUMENTATOR |
Impacts of Indefinite Life Extension: Answers to Common
Questions |
As a proponent of attaining
indefinite human longevity through the progress of medical
science and technology, I am frequently asked to address key
questions about the effects that indefinite life extension
would have on human incentives, behaviors, and societies.
Here, I offer my outlook on what some of these impacts would
be.
What would be the
benefits of life extension?
(1) The greatest benefit of
life extension is the continued existence of the individual
who remains alive. Each individual – apart from the worst
criminals – has incalculable moral value and is a universe
of ideas, experiences, emotions, and memories. When a person
dies, that entire universe is extinguished, and, to the
person who dies, everything is lost and not even a memory
remains. It is as if the individual never existed at all.
This is the greatest possible loss and should be averted if
at all possible. The rest of us, of course, also lose the
possible benefits and opportunities of interacting with that
individual.
(2) People would be able to
accomplish far more with longer lifespans. They could pursue
multiple careers and multi-year personal projects and could
reliably accumulate enough resources to sustainably enjoy
life. They could develop their intellectual, physical, and
relational capabilities to the fullest. Furthermore, they
would exhibit longer-term orientations, since they could
expect to remain to live with the consequences of decisions
many decades and centuries from now. I expect that a world
of longer-lived individuals would involve far less
pollution, corruption, fraud, hierarchical oppression,
destruction of other species, and short-term exploitation of
other humans. Prudence, foresight, and pursuit of respectful,
symbiotic interactions would prevail. People would tend to
live in more reflective, measured, and temperate ways
instead of seeking to haphazardly cram enjoyment and
activity into the tiny slivers of life they have now. At the
same time, they would also be more open to experimentation
with new projects and ideas, since they would have more time
to devote to such exploratory behaviors.
(3) Upon becoming adults,
people would no longer live life in strict stages, and the
normative societal expectations of “what one should do with
one’s life” at a particular stage would relax considerably.
If a person at age 80 is biologically indistinguishable from
a person at age 20, the strict generational divides of today
would dissipate, allowing a much greater diversity of human
interactions. People will tend to become more tolerant and
cosmopolitan, having more time to explore other ways of
living and to understand those who are different from them.
(4) Technological, scientific,
and economic progress would accelerate rapidly, because
precious intellectual capital would not be lost to the
ravages of death and disease. Longer-lived humans would be
more likely to invest in projects that would materialize
over the course of decades, including space travel and
colonization, geo-engineering and terraforming, prevention
of asteroid impacts and other natural disasters, safe
nuclear disarmament and disposal of nuclear waste, and
long-term preservation of the human species. The focus of
most intelligent people would shift from meeting quarterly
or annual business earnings goals and toward time- and
resource-intensive projects that could avert existential
dangers to humankind and also expand humanity’s reach,
knowledge, and benevolence. The achievement of significant
life extension would inspire many intelligent people to try
to solve other age-old problems instead of resigning to the
perception of their inevitability.
(5) Major savings to
health-care systems, both private and governmental, would
result if the largest expenses – which occur in the last
years of life today, in the attempt to fight a losing battle
against the diseases of old age – are replaced by periodic
and relatively inexpensive rejuvenation and maintenance
treatments to forestall the advent of biological senescence
altogether. Health care could truly become about the pursuit
of sustainable good health instead of a last-ditch effort
against the onslaught of diseases that accompanies old age
today. Furthermore, the strain on public pensions would be
alleviated as advanced age would cease to be a barrier to
work.
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“I do not see true drawbacks
to life extension. Certainly, the world and all human
societies would change significantly, and there would be
some upheaval as old business models and ways of living are
replaced by new ones. However, this has happened with every
major technological advance in history, and in the end the
benefits far outweigh any transitional costs.” |
What drawbacks would
life extension pose?
I do not see true drawbacks to
life extension. Certainly, the world and all human societies
would change significantly, and there would be some upheaval
as old business models and ways of living are replaced by
new ones. However, this has happened with every major
technological advance in history, and in the end the
benefits far outweigh any transitional costs. For the people
who remain alive, the avoidance of the greatest loss of all
will be well worth it, and the human capacity for adaptation
and growth in the face of new circumstances is and has
always been remarkable. Furthermore, the continued presence
of individuals from older generations would render this
transition far more humane than any other throughout history.
After all, entire generations would no longer be swept away
by the ravages of time. They could persist and preserve
their knowledge and experience as anchors during times of
change.
Every day, approximately
150,000 people die, and approximately 100,000 of them die
from causes related to senescence. If those deaths can be
averted and the advent of indefinite life extension
accelerated by even a few days, hundreds of thousands of
irreplaceable individual universes would be preserved. This
is worth paying even substantial costs in my view, but,
fortunately, I think the other – economic and societal –
effects that accompany life extension would be
overwhelmingly positive as well.
As
Death is Wrong, my illustrated children’s book on
the prospects for life extension, points out, “Death is the
enemy of us all, to be fought with medicine, science, and
technology.” The book discusses the benefits of life extension
in a language and format accessible to most children of ages 8
or older. Death is Wrong also outlines some common
arguments against life extension and reasonable responses to
them. For instance, I respond to the common overpopulation
argument as follows: “human population is the highest it has
ever been, and most people live far longer, healthier, more
prosperous lives than their ancestors did when the Earth’s
population was hundreds of times smaller. Technology gives us
far more food, energy, and living space than our ancestors had,
and the growth in population only gives us more smart people who
can create even more technologies to benefit us all. Besides,
humans ought to build more settlements on land, on water,
underwater, and in space. Space travel could also save the human
species if the Earth were hit by a massive asteroid that could
wipe out complex life.” I respond to the boredom argument by
stating that, due to human creativity and discovery, the number
of possible pursuits increases far faster than the ability of
any individual to pursue. For instance, thousands more books are
published every day than a single person could possibly read.
Would governments ban
indefinite life extension if it is achieved?
Once life-extending treatments
are developed and publicly available, national governments
would not be effectively able to ban them, since there will
not be a single medicine or procedure that would accomplish
indefinite lifespans. Rather, indefinite life extension
would be achieved through a combination of treatments,
beating back today’s deadliest diseases using techniques
that would not be limited in their application to people who
explicitly want to live longer. (For instance, people who do
not harbor that particular desire but do want to get rid of
cancer, heart disease, or Alzheimer’s disease that may
afflict them or their loved ones, would also benefit from
the same treatments.) These treatments would be as embedded
in the healthcare systems of the future as over-the-counter
drugs like aspirin and ibuprofen are today; it would be
practically impossible to ban them, and countries that did
would face massive black markets or people traveling abroad
to receive the same treatments.
Furthermore, genuine healthy
life extension could be a great fiscal solution for many
welfare states today, which are finding themselves with
unsustainable burdens pertaining to old-age healthcare and
pensions. The majority of health-care costs are expended to
keep frail people alive a little bit longer and to fight an
expensive and ultimately losing battle against the diseases
of old age. The only way dramatic life extension could occur
is if regular and relatively inexpensive maintenance (made
inexpensive through the exponential progress of information
technologies and bio/nanotechnology) prevented the
decline of the body to such a stage where expensive, losing
battles needed to be fought at all. Replacing the current
extremely expensive end-of-life medical care with periodic
rejuvenation and maintenance would be a great cost-saver and
may avert a major fiscal crisis.
What concerns me is not
governments banning life-extension technologies once they
are developed, but rather existing political systems (and
their associated politically connected established private
institutions) creating barriers to the emergence of those
technologies in the first place. Most of those barriers are
probably inadvertent – for instance, the FDA’s approval
process in the United States premised on a model of
medicines and treatments that must focus on single diseases
rather than the biological aging process as a whole. However,
there have been influential “bioethicists,” such as
Leon Kass,
Daniel Callahan, and
Sherwin Nuland, who have explicitly and extensively
spoken and written against health life extension. It is
important to win the contest of ideas so that public opinion
does not give encouragement to the “bioconservative”
bioethicists who want to use the political process to
perpetuate the old cycle of life, death, and decay – where
each generation must be swept away by the ravages of
senescence. We must stand for life and against age-old
rationalizations of our own demise.
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